And the Winner is: This Year’s Oscar Predictions

The big night is finally upon us, well, not actually us… but nevertheless we are ready to see some statues given out! Let’s have a glance at a couple of the nominees and our predictions for them.


 

Best picture:

The Big Short

Bridge of Spies

Brooklyn

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant

Room

Spotlight


You probably haven’t seen all of these films, you certainly should though. Each of these movies were incredible in one way or another. Mad Max left us enjoying the shit out of our water, even if California doesn’t have so much. The Big Short made us upset at the big business, maybe a little at ourselves for not identifying the problem and betting on it to fail… The Revenant made us witness firsthand the worst thing to live through, with one bad thing happening after the next. So, who do we think wins best picture tonight?

Prediction: The Big Short


Why: The Revenant is a fantastic film, and certainly the second best movie on the list. However, a more pressing story at hand, at least to this generation is the housing dump of 2008. The story is told in a comical, while still being very real, and horrifying way.

Best Director:

Lenny Abrahamson, Room

Alejandro González Iñárritu, The Revenant

Tom McCarthy, Spotlight

Adam McKay, The Big Short

George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road


This is a tough category. The guild loves an epic masterpiece, which The Revenant definitely is. At the same time, Iñárritu won last year for the film Birdman. Which is a peck in terms of scale and intensity to The Revenant. Nonetheless, critics loved it, fans loved it, it was huge, it was impressive.

Prediction:

Alejandro González Iñárritu, The Revenant

Close calls: George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road


Best Actor:

Bryan Cranston, Trumbo

Matt Damon, The Martian

Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant

Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs

Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl


So, at this point, one of the actors above is 0-5… I think you know who I’m talking about. Yep, the favorite, Leo. Is this his year? Will his endurance test get awarded?

Let’s take a quick aside to why he shouldn’t. If you saw the article on RogerEbert last week, you might agree or not… but they make a great point. It’s not about killing yourself for the camera. If it was, then the formula for success would be to punish actors on set, set them of fire, push them off cliffs, and so on. Winning best actor this way would turn it into an pain contest. While his acting, or struggling to live acting was good… it was minimal in terms of range.

Don’t take away the greatness of this movie. It’s more or less about the direction films would be going from here… No pain, no Oscar?

With all that said, we think there would be a trending hashtag next to #OscarsSoWhite that read, #PoorLeo or something of the sort if he lost.

Prediction: Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant


Best Actress:

Cate Blanchett, Carol

Brie Larson, Room

Jennifer Lawrence, Joy

Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years

Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn


Some more great films in there, if you’ve been following along, you already know Brie Larson has been hot the past couple months, taking home a SAG award, the Globe, the BAFTA, and probably one or two others… next on that list for her, the little golden statue.

Prediction: Brie Larson, The Room


Best Supporting Actor

Christian Bale, The Big Short

Tom Hardy, The Revenant

Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight

Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies

Sylvester Stallone, Creed


Loved Christian Bales performance in The Big Short. He was electrifying and brilliant. But don’t expect him to lift the statue tonight. Mark Ruffalo’s performance in Spotlight was gripping. The wild card reporter running around Boston. He took it down, and he will take down the Oscar for it.

Prediction: Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight


Best Supporting Actress:

Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight

Rooney Mara, Carol

Rachel McAdams, Spotlight

Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl

Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs


Mara and Vikander both had over half of the screen time in their films… but the studios thought they’d have a better chance of winning here… cheap move, but allowed. Just the same as placing The Martian in best comedy… WTF? Needless to say, this race boils down to Mara and Vikander… sorry everyone else, the studios know what they are doing…

Prediction: Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl


So, you’ve probably noticed, or at very least heard about the #OscarsSoWhite deal. Yeah, there’s not much variety going on here… but complaining and protesting is a way to leave future winners second guessing the legitimacy of their award… As for Will Smith, you made Focus this year too… That’s why you didn’t get the nomination.

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