How Good Were Our 2015-16 NBA Season Predictions – Eastern Conference

The 2015-16 NBA regular season has finally come to a close. Now we can look back at our predictions made before the season and gloat about what we got right and make excuses for what we got wrong. First we start with our Eastern Conference predictions.

The Eastern Conference was pretty predictable. Cleveland would have the best record, the 76ers would continue to be a disaster, and there would be a bunch of teams in the middle. But let’s look at every individual team starting with the worst, the Philadelphia 76ers.

Philadelphia 76ers

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Projected Record: 24-58

Actual Record: 10-72

Off By: 14 Games

 

Brooklyn Nets

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Projected Record: 32-50

Actual Record: 21-61

Off By: 11 Games

 

New York Knicks

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Projected Record: 29-53

Actual Record: 32-50

Off By: 3 Games

 

Milwaukee Bucks

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Projected Record: 45-37

Actual Record: 33-49

Off By: 12 Games

 

Orlando Magic

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Projected Record: 31-51

Actual Record: 35-47

Off By: 4 Games

 

Washington Wizards

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Projected Record: 44-38

Actual Record: 41-41

Off By: 3 Games

 

Chicago Bulls

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Projected Record: 45-37

Actual Record: 42-40

Off By: 3 Games

 

Detroit Pistons

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Projected Record: 36-46

Actual Record: 44-38

Off By: 8 Games

 

Indiana Pacers

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Projected Record: 42-40

Actual Record: 45-37

Off By: 3 Games

 

Charlotte Hornets

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Projected Record: 32-50

Actual Record: 48-34

Off By: 16 Games

Boston Celtics

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Projected Record: 43-39

Actual Record: 48-34

Off By: 5 Games

 

Atlanta Hawks

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Projected Record: 53-29

Actual Record: 48-34

Off By: 5 Games

 

Miami Heat

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Projected Record: 46-36

Actual Record: 48-34

Off By: 2 Games

 

Toronto Raptors

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Projected Record: 51-31

Actual Record: 56-26

Off By: 5 Games

 

Cleveland Cavaliers

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Projected Record: 55-27

Actual Record: 57-25

Off By: 2 Games

Best Picks

Chicago Bulls – We were not as high on the Bulls as most people, picking them to win just 45 games while the Vegas over/under was 49.5.

Toronto Raptors – While we were 5 games off their actual win total, we did pick them to win 50 games while Vegas had their over/under at just 45.5.

Worst Picks

Philadelphia 76ers – It’s not like we thought the 76ers would be good. We had them tied for the worst record. We just didn’t know that they would be one of the worst teams of all time.

Charlotte Hornets – In our defense, no one thought the Hornets would be this good. Who could have known that Kemba Walker would discover a 3 point shot in his fifth year?

Brooklyn Nets – I don’t know why we didn’t see the Nets being as horrible as they were. This was the biggest difference we had with the over/under that we did worse on.

Summary

Our projected win totals were off by an average of 6.4 wins. The teams’ over-unders coming into the season were off by an average of 6.36, so we were about even with the betting markets. Not bad but not great either.

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